Wednesday, July 12, 2017

Iceberg four times the size of London breaks off from Antarctica ice shelf

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Iceberg four times the size of London breaks off from Antarctica ice shelf

Iceberg four times the size of London breaks off from Antarctica ice shelfA trillion-tonne iceberg - one of the largest on record - has broken away from an ice shelf in Antarctica. Researchers have been monitoring a huge crack in the Larsen C Ice Shelf, which had left a vast iceberg more than four times the size of London or a quarter the size of Wales "hanging by a thread". Scientists announced on Wednesday that the rift had finally completed its path through the ice, causing the 2,200 square mile (5,800 square kilometre) iceberg to snap off. A massive section of Larsen-C ice shelf calving off the glacier in a satellite image released by the European Space Agency Credit: ESA The calving of the iceberg reduces the size of the Larsen C Ice Shelf by around 12 per cent and will change the landscape of the Antarctic Peninsula forever, the team from the Swansea University-led Midas project said. The iceberg, which is now likely to be named A68, broke away at some time between Monday and Wednesday. The final breakthrough was detected in data from Nasa's Aqua MODIS satellite instrument. Professor Adrian Luckman, of Swansea University, said: "We have been anticipating this event for months, and have been surprised how long it took for the rift to break through the final few kilometres of ice. An image from NASA shows the Antarctic Peninsula's rift in the Larsen C ice shelf Credit: AFP "We will continue to monitor both the impact of this calving event on the Larsen C Ice Shelf, and the fate of this huge iceberg. "The iceberg is one of the largest recorded and its future progress is difficult to predict. It may remain in one piece but is more likely to break into fragments. From 6 July to 12 July, #Sentinel1 caught the final days and eventual full break-off of the berg. #LarsenCpic.twitter.com/2kVVjx4Syk— ESA EarthObservation (@ESA_EO) 12 July 2017 "Some of the ice may remain in the area for decades, while parts of the iceberg may drift north into warmer waters." Although the iceberg weighs a trillion tonnes, it was already floating before it calved away so will have no immediate impact on sea level. While the researchers said the calving was a "natural event", it put the ice shelf in a vulnerable position. A huge crack had left the Larsen C Ice Shelf 'hanging by a thread', scientists said Credit: JOHN SONNTAG/AFP There are concerns that Larsen C could follow the example of its neighbouring ice shelf Larsen B, which disintegrated in 2002 after a similar event. Dr Martin O'Leary, a Swansea University glaciologist and member of the Midas project team, said: "Although this is a natural event, and we're not aware of any link to human-induced climate change, this puts the ice shelf in a very vulnerable position. Nasa Suomi VIIRS panchromatic image from July 12 2017, confirming the calving Credit: Nasa "This is the furthest back that the ice front has been in recorded history. We're going to be watching very carefully for signs that the rest of the shelf is becoming unstable." Prof Luckman added: "In the ensuing months and years, the ice shelf could either gradually regrow, or may suffer further calving events which may eventually lead to collapse - opinions in the scientific community are divided. "Our models say it will be less stable, but any future collapse remains years or decades away." If the shelf loses much more area, it could result in glaciers which flow off the land behind speeding up their path to the ocean, which could have an eventual impact on sea levels - though at a very modest rate, the scientists said. Larsen C Ice Break Growth of Larsen C's rift size


China sends troops to its 'support base' in East Africa 

China sends troops to its 'support base' in East Africa Ships carrying Chinese troops tasked with setting up the country's first overseas military base are steaming towards the East African nation of Djibouti. China calls its new facility a 'support base' and says it will have mainly logistical functions, however observers see it as a key part of Beijing’s plans to expand its global reach through military might. India in particular views the base with suspicion as New Delhi is concerned that China is confronting it with a ‘ring of pearls’ – a series of assets and alliances across the Indian Ocean and into South-East Asia. A report from the Pentagon recently suggested that China is likely to open a military base in Pakistan, India’s main rival in Asia. However, China dismissed this. Chinese sailors on parade China started building its base in Djibouti just over a year ago.  It is stationed just a few miles from a US camp, and France and Japan also have bases in the nation, which is about the size of Wales. A report by China’s official Xinhua news agency said the decision to set up the base was "made by the two countries after friendly negotiations”. The report added: “The base will ensure China's performance of missions, such as escorting, peace-keeping and humanitarian aid in Africa and west Asia. “The base will also be conducive to overseas tasks including military cooperation, joint exercises, evacuating and protecting overseas Chinese and emergency rescue, as well as jointly maintaining security of international strategic seaways.” The Chinese flag flies from the ship  China’s defence ministry said that a ceremony was held at a naval pier in the southern Chinese port of Zhanjiang presided over by navy commander Vice Admiral Shen Jinlong. Neither Xinhua or defence officials gave details on numbers or units of troops travelling to the new base. Foreign ministry spokesman Geng Shuang told a daily news briefing the facility would enable China to make "new and greater contributions" to peace in Africa and the world and would benefit Djibouti's economic development. The People's Liberation Army Daily said in a front-page commentary that the new base would help China fulfil its obligations in ensuring global peace, working with its huge UN peacekeeping force in Africa and its anti-piracy patrols. The Global Times, a newspaper which often takes a nationalist tone, said the new facility was indeed a military base. “We will base troops there,” it said. “It's not a commercial resupply point. It makes sense there is attention on this from foreign public opinion.” Additional reporting by Christine Wei.


One of the largest icebergs ever recorded just broke free of Antarctica

One of the largest icebergs ever recorded just broke free of AntarcticaOne of the largest icebergs ever recorded — measuring about the size of Delaware and containing a volume of ice twice the size of Lake Erie — has broken free from the Larsen C Ice Shelf in northwest Antarctica, according to scientists monitoring the region.  The iceberg weighs about a trillion tons, according to a team of researchers affiliated with a U.K.-based research project, known as Project MIDAS. While the iceberg calving event itself is likely mostly natural, it nevertheless threatens to speed up the already quickening pace of ice melt in the region due in large part to global warming.  The iceberg is about 2,200 square miles in area, or about the size of Delaware, Project MIDAS researchers said in a blog post on Wednesday morning. It will likely be designated "A68" by officials who track the movement of icebergs to avert shipping accidents. SEE ALSO: Impending Antarctic iceberg is the size of Delaware, and extends 700 feet below the surface "The calving of this iceberg leaves the Larsen C Ice Shelf reduced in area by more than 12 percent, and the landscape of the Antarctic Peninsula changed forever," the researchers wrote. Breaking news! The iceberg has fully detached from Larsen C - more details to follow soon pic.twitter.com/pdSxDuAGjR — Project MIDAS (@MIDASOnIce) July 12, 2017 Scientists have watched since 2014 as a fissure in the ice carved out a slice of the Larsen C Ice Shelf as if someone were taking a giant X-Acto Knife to the ice.  "The iceberg is one of the largest recorded and its future progress is difficult to predict," says Adrian Luckman, a professor at Swansea University and lead investigator of the MIDAS project. "It may remain in one piece but is more likely to break into fragments. Some of the ice may remain in the area for decades, while parts of the iceberg may drift north into warmer waters." Satellite images from ESA show the LarsenC Iceberg breaking off Antarctica.Image: Stef LhermitteWhile the iceberg itself won't add to sea level rise, since it has already been floating in the water like an ice cube in a glass, it may have significant consequences down the road by weakening the overall shelf and limiting its ability to hold back inland glaciers whose runoff does contribute to sea level rise.  The Larsen C Ice Shelf is located in the Antarctic Peninsula, which is one of the fastest-warming regions on Earth. While scientists have hesitated to pin this particular iceberg calving event to global warming specifically, the trends across parts of Antarctica, as well as the Arctic, are clear.  NASA Landsat satellite image of the growing crack in the Larsen C Ice Shelf as of June 17, 2017.Image: nasa earth observatoryIce shelves are retreating and weakening as sea and air temperatures climb, and mountain glaciers are speeding their path to the sea faster than predicted just several years ago. The result will be more significant and rapid sea level rise that will threaten the viability of coastal megacities, from Miami to Mumbai.  The Larsen C iceberg event has been one of the most closely-observed iceberg calving events in history, with data from a synthetic aperture radar aboard the European Space Agency's (ESA) Sentinel-1 satellite providing scientists with detailed observations of the motion of the sea and land ice in that region. Other ESA satellites and NASA platforms have also aided scientists in keeping track of this iceberg.  The radar onboard the Sentinel-1 satellite is able to detect subtle changes in ground movements and is used for both studying melting glaciers and ice shelves as well as earthquakes and other geological phenomena. Scientists affiliated with a UK-funded research project known as Project Midas kept the closest tabs on the region, with researchers from NASA and other institutions also providing their expertise.  When viewed from the air, the fissure in Larsen C stretched all the way to the horizon, and was wide enough that you'd need a plane to cross it — with sections reaching at least 1,500 feet wide.  NASA Suomi VIIRS panchromatic image from July 12, 2017, confirming the calving.Image: project midasThe iceberg could last for several years, depending on whether it breaks up into smaller pieces or holds together, according to Mark Drinkwater, who directs the mission science division at ESA. He said there have been instances of icebergs that have circumnavigated the continent of Antarctica, and this iceberg won't melt quickly unless it moves far to the north near milder waters.  While the iceberg will not raise sea levels, it will alter the ocean waters in its vicinity by adding freshwater to the sea. It also can affect weather conditions nearby, and pose a danger to shipping routes, depending on its location, Drinkwater said.. How unusual is this? Cracks and calving of ice from the front of an ice shelf are normal occurrences. Shelves are fed by glaciers and ice streams coming from the interior of the continent. They advance into the ocean until a calving event takes place.  The calving of an iceberg from an ice shelf in Antarctica would normally not be newsworthy, but because of the place where it occurred, the size of the iceberg, and the rapidity with which this went from a crack identified in 2014 to the calving event this week, this particular event is concerning to scientists who study the region.  Closeup image of the Larsen C Ice Shelf rift on Nov. 10, 2016.Image: nasa.“This is a single piece, which is remarkable I guess because of it’s somewhat biblical proportions,” Drinkwater said. Frequent, large calving events at the neighboring Larsen B Ice Shelf presaged that shelf's disintegration in 2002.  The Project MIDAS team has published research showing that the calving of this iceberg would reduce the size of Larsen C by more than 10 percent of its area, and leave its front at its most retreated position on record.  "This event will fundamentally change the landscape of the Antarctic Peninsula," the researchers wrote in a blog post.  The new position of the ice front, which is where the floating ice shelf meets the land-based ice behind it, is likely to be less stable than the previous configuration. This could speed Larsen C's demise, and make the ice sheet follow in the ill-fated footsteps of Larsen B, whose 2002 collapse was a wakeup call to scientists and the public that these massive ice structures can change quickly and seemingly without warning.  “Although this is a natural event, and we’re not aware of any link to human-induced climate change, this puts the ice shelf in a very vulnerable position," said Martin O'Leary, a Swansea University glaciologist and participant in the MIDAS project, in a statement.  "This is the furthest back that the ice front has been in recorded history. We’re going to be watching very carefully for signs that the rest of the shelf is becoming unstable.” Larsen B Ice Shelf seen on Jan. 31, 2002, with arrows pointing to the edge of ice shelf.Image: nasa Larsen B Ice Shelf after the disintegration on March 7, 2002, with arrows showing the retreat of the edge of the shelf and shelf remnants extending from it.Image: nasa Other ice shelves in the Antarctic Peninsula have either disintegrated or begun thinning and retreating as well, reflecting the rapid warming rates in the region.  "The demise of ice shelves in the Peninsula is well-documented and related to climate warming," said Eric Rignot, a professor of Earth System Science at University of California at Irvine and a researcher at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.  In fact, Larsen C is one of the last ice shelves in this region still standing. Larsen A disintegrated in 1995, Larsen B in 2002, the Wilkins Ice Shelf continued to break up through at least 2013, and according to Rignot, Larsen C and the George VI Ice Shelf are "not looking good." It may take years for us to know the fate of Larsen C, however. Rignot said the crack in was able to propagate rapidly across part of Larsen C because the overall ice shelf has been retreating, and also thinned by at least 50 meters, or about 160 feet, in the past 20 years.  Despite losing such a large amount of ice at once, Larsen C is not likely to collapse right away, if at all, Rignot says. The shelf's compressive arch, which helps stabilize it, is still a few kilometers inland, he said.  However, another big calving event after this one could doom Larsen C. Were they each to slide into the sea, the glaciers held back by Larsen C would raise global sea levels by about 1 centimeter, or 0.4 inches. This is larger than that associated with the loss of Larsen B, which held back just 4 millimeters, or 0.15 inches, in sea level rise potential.  Scientists like Rignot have been sounding the alarm about ice shelf instability in the West Antarctic Ice Sheet as well. A collapse there could produce far greater amounts of sea level rise than similar events in other parts of the continent.  "As the wave of warming awake regions of Antarctica located farther south, the ice shelves will unleash larger amounts of land ice into the sea," Rignot said.  "This is the big story that people need to think about. What we are seeing right now does not have major consequences for sea level tomorrow, but it is part of a story where the sources of sea level awakened by climate warming get bigger and bigger with time." According to Robin Bell, a climate scientist at Columbia University's Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, the iceberg should be viewed in the broader context of the changes taking place on our planet.  "It shows that we’re able to watch our planet shift and move much better than we used to, and we know that this is a part of the planet where temperatures are changing more than anywhere else, and [where] the first wakeup call that things could happen fast occurred.” “It’s really the trends that matter, not an individual iceberg,” Bell said.   WATCH: It's official, 2016 was Earth's warmest year on record


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